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Gradual movement in time-series data over time is called


A) seasonal variation.
B) a cycle.
C) a trend.
D) exponential variation.
E) random variation.

F) A) and C)
G) C) and E)

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Which of the following most requires long-range forecasting (as opposed to short-range or medium-range forecasting) for its planning purposes?


A) job scheduling
B) production levels
C) cash budgeting
D) capital expenditures
E) purchasing

F) All of the above
G) B) and C)

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Given an actual demand of 103,a previous forecast value of 99,and an alpha of .4,the exponential smoothing forecast for the next period would be


A) 94.6.
B) 97.4.
C) 100.6.
D) 101.6.
E) 103.0.

F) A) and B)
G) None of the above

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Forecasts are usually classified by time horizon into three categories


A) short-range,medium-range,and long-range.
B) finance/accounting,marketing,and operations.
C) strategic,tactical,and operational.
D) exponential smoothing,regression,and time series.
E) departmental,organizational,and industrial.

F) A) and B)
G) B) and D)

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Describe the three forecasting time horizons and their use.

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Forecasting time horizons are: short ran...

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Many services maintain records of sales noting


A) the day of the week.
B) unusual events.
C) weather.
D) holidays.
E) all of the above.

F) C) and D)
G) B) and D)

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What is a time-series forecasting model?

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A time-series forecasting mode...

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An approach to exponential smoothing in which the smoothing constant is automatically changed to keep errors to a minimum is called ________.

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________ forecasts address the business cycle by predicting inflation rates,money supplies,housing starts,and other planning indicators.

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Seasonal indices adjust raw data for patterns that repeat at regular time intervals.

A) True
B) False

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What is focus forecasting?

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It is a forecasting method tha...

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One use of short-range forecasts is to determine


A) planning for new products.
B) capital expenditures.
C) research and development plans.
D) facility location.
E) job assignments.

F) B) and C)
G) A) and B)

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Demand (sales)forecasts serve as inputs to financial,marketing,and personnel planning.

A) True
B) False

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The two general approaches to forecasting are


A) qualitative and quantitative.
B) mathematical and statistical.
C) judgmental and qualitative.
D) historical and associative.
E) judgmental and associative.

F) A) and B)
G) B) and D)

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Taco Bell's unique employee scheduling practices are partly the result of using


A) point-of-sale computers to track food sales in 15 minute intervals and a six-week moving average forecasting technique.
B) focus forecasting and multiple regression.
C) a six-week moving average forecasting technique and multiple regression.
D) singular regression.
E) work breakdown structures.

F) A) and B)
G) A) and E)

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Forecasts of individual products tend to be more accurate than forecasts of product families.

A) True
B) False

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Arnold Tofu owns and operates a chain of 12 vegetable protein "hamburger" restaurants in Quebec.Sales figures and profits for the stores are in the table below.Sales are given in millions of dollars;profits are in hundreds of thousands of dollars.Calculate a regression line for the data.What is your forecast of profit for a store with sales of $24 million? $30 million? Arnold Tofu owns and operates a chain of 12 vegetable protein  hamburger  restaurants in Quebec.Sales figures and profits for the stores are in the table below.Sales are given in millions of dollars;profits are in hundreds of thousands of dollars.Calculate a regression line for the data.What is your forecast of profit for a store with sales of $24 million? $30 million?

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Students must recognize that "sales" is ...

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Computer monitoring of tracking signals and self-adjustment if a signal passes a preset limit is characteristic of


A) exponential smoothing including trend.
B) adaptive smoothing.
C) trend projection.
D) focus forecasting.
E) multiple regression analysis.

F) B) and D)
G) None of the above

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In a regression equation where Y is demand and X is advertising,a coefficient of determination ( In a regression equation where Y is demand and X is advertising,a coefficient of determination (   )of .70 means that 70% of the variance in advertising is explained by demand. )of .70 means that 70% of the variance in advertising is explained by demand.

A) True
B) False

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________ expresses the error as a percent of the actual values,undistorted by a single large value.


A) MAD
B) MSE
C) MAPE
D) FIT
E) The smoothing constant

F) B) and E)
G) B) and C)

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